Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
1 - 1
PSV

Wahi (65')
Mendy (52'), Said (90+4'), Thomasson (90+4'), Abdul Samed (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakayoko (54')
Ramalho (30'), Boscagli (70'), Pepi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lens and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Le Havre 0-0 Lens
Friday, October 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSV 3-1 Sittard
Saturday, October 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lens 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

Even with a refreshed Wahi back to lead the charge, Lens should not be expected to go toe-to-toe with PSV in an attacking sense, and their showing against Le Havre certainly left something to be desired. Haise may chalk up that off day to the recent international break, but faced with the PSV goalscoring juggernaut, Les Sang et Or - for all of their defensive nous - could be overwhelmed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
35.85% ( -0.94)	24.18% ( -0.32)	39.97% ( 1.25)

Both teams to score 60.65% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.12% (

1.44)

41.87% (

-1.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.72% (

1.44)

64.27% (

-1.44)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.84% (

0.15)

23.15% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97% (

0.23)

57.02% (

-0.24)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

1.24)

21.07% (

-1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.11% (

1.9)

53.89% (

-1.91)

Score Analysis

Lens 35.85%

PSV Eindhoven 39.97%

Draw 24.17%

Lens	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.85%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.73% Total : 39.97%