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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lille

Lens
1 - 1
Lille

Machado (70')
Medina (17'), Haise (56'), Wahi (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andre (45+3')
Cavaleiro (20'), Alexsandro (68'), Gomes (82'), Yoro (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: KI 0-0 Lille
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Lens 2-1 Lille

 Lens won 17 of their 19 home games in Ligue 1 last season, with Lille one of only two teams who prevented them from winning, ultimately costing Haise's side the title given that they finished one point behind champions Paris Saint-Germain. As such, we could be in store for a tasty Northern derby on Sunday, with Lens appearing to be in good shape to gain a victory given that they have won three matches in a row in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLille
36.64% (0.355 0.35) 26.25% (0.105 0.11) 37.11% (-0.467 -0.47)
Both teams to score 53.39% (-0.355 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.75% (-0.45500000000001 -0.46)51.25% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (-0.401 -0.4)73.08% (0.396 0.4)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)27.07% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)62.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (-0.48 -0.48)26.79% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92% (-0.635 -0.63)62.08% (0.629 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Lens 36.64%
    Lille 37.11%
    Draw 26.25%
LensDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.168 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.64%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.55% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.11%

How you voted: Lens vs Lille

Lens
58.5%
Draw
19.5%
Lille
22.0%
41
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 26
Lens
1-1
Lille
Fonte (41' og.)
David (69')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lille
1-0
Lens
David (44' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Lille
1-2
Lens
Xeka (45+1')
Xeka (18'), David (29'), Sanches (45+2')
Frankowski (4'), Kalimuendo (37')
Gradit (45+2'), Cahuzac (90')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2022 8pm
Round of 32
Lens
2-2
Lille
 Lens win 4-3 on penalties
Fofana (67', 90+5')
Fofana (90+5')
Onana (28', 33')
Mandava (72'), Grbic (90')
Sep 18, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 6
Lens
1-0
Lille
Frankowski (74')
Leca (57'), Sotoca (88')

Mandava (22'), Celik (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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