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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
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Lille
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Monaco
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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Lille

Lens
1 - 1
Lille

Fonte (41' og.)
Fofana (23'), Gradit (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
David (69')
Gomes (2'), Fonte (27'), Andre (44'), Alexsandro (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Lens
Wednesday, March 1 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Brest
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-1 Lille

 In spite of their faltering form, home advantage in this Derby du Nord could count heavily in the favour of Lens, who are rock-solid in front of their own fans. Only PSG can better their home stats this term, so a momentum-shifting win may be on the cards - keeping them ahead of Lille in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLille
42.98% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 31.8% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.8% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (0.073999999999998 0.07)47.69% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (0.068000000000001 0.07)69.88% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.034000000000006 0.03)22.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (0.048000000000002 0.05)55.54% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (0.046999999999997 0.05)28.32% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (0.058 0.06)64.05% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lens 42.98%
    Lille 31.8%
    Draw 25.22%
LensDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.98%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.8%

How you voted: Lens vs Lille

Lens
75.6%
Draw
7.3%
Lille
17.1%
41
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Lille
1-0
Lens
David (44' pen.)

Cabot (4')
Apr 16, 2022 8pm
Lille
1-2
Lens
Xeka (45+1')
Xeka (18'), David (29'), Sanches (45+2')
Frankowski (4'), Kalimuendo (37')
Gradit (45+2'), Cahuzac (90')
Jan 4, 2022 8pm
Round of 32
Lens
2-2
Lille
 Lens win 4-3 on penalties
Fofana (67', 90+5')
Fofana (90+5')
Onana (28', 33')
Mandava (72'), Grbic (90')
Sep 18, 2021 4pm
Lens
1-0
Lille
Frankowski (74')
Leca (57'), Sotoca (88')

Mandava (22'), Celik (90+3')
May 7, 2021 8pm
Lens
0-3
Lille

Michelin (29'), Fortes (67')
Michelin (35')
Yilmaz (4' pen., 40'), David (60')
Araujo (39'), Fonte (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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