Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Jan 29, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stade Municipal du Ray

Nice
1 - 0
Lille

Laborde (34')
Dante (16'), Boudaoui (68'), Thuram (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Djalo (90+4'), Gomes (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 0-0 Nice
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 2-0 Pau
Sunday, January 22 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille have really started to improve of late, going undefeated since the end of October, and so they should have enough about them to beat a side that have struggled to score goals for the majority of the season. David is likely to get on the scoresheet again, in what we expect will be a close game, given that both teams are in decent form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Nice	Draw	Lille
29.57% ( -0.2)	26.48% ( 0.01)	43.95% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 50.73% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.22% (

-0.14)

53.78% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.75% (

-0.11)

75.25% (

0.11)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

-0.22)

32.96% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.45% (

-0.24)

69.54% (

0.24)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

0.03)

24.32% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.29% (

0.04)

58.7% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Nice 29.57%

Lille 43.94%

Draw 26.47%

Nice	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.57%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.94%