Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Nov 6, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
1 - 1
Rennes

Fonte (16')
Djalo (54'), Bamba (57'), Diakite (74'), Balepa (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bourigeaud (58' pen.)
Wooh (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Lille
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Larnaca
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Taking advantage of Lille's depleted left-hand side should be the first port of call for Rennes this weekend, and Genesio will be desperate to see a reaction from his rotated side after their Europa League setback. The visitors' ongoing defensive issues on the road spells success for Lille's main man David, and the hosts will be the much fresher of the two sides, so we can only envisage this one ending all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Rennes
36.81% ( 0.19)	24.91% ( -0.22)	38.28% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.07% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.75% (

1.02)

45.25% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.41% (

0.97)

67.59% (

-0.97)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

0.57)

24.18% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.49% (

0.81)

58.51% (

-0.8)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

0.48)

23.4% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.61% (

0.69)

57.39% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

Lille 36.81%

Rennes 38.28%

Draw 24.91%

Lille	Draw	Rennes
2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 36.81%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.91%	1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.28%