Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2

Aug 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
1 - 1
Rennes

Machado (3')
Abdul Samed (51'), Gradit (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bourigeaud (53' pen.)
Omari (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 3-2 Lens
Sunday, August 13 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 5-1 Metz
Sunday, August 13 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Lens struggled without Openda and Fofana as they threw away a 2-0 lead last time out, Rennes hit the ground running with a dominant 5-1 victory on the opening weekend. With that in mind, we expect the Red and Blacks to carry their momentum into Sunday's showdown, inflicting back-to-back defeats on the Blood and Gold. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Rennes
41.47% ( 0.04)	25.99% ( -0.03)	32.53% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.54% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.26% (

0.12)

50.74% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.36% (

0.11)

72.64% (

-0.11)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.78% (

0.08)

24.21% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.44% (

0.11)

58.55% (

-0.11)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

0.05)

29.35% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.66% (

0.06)

65.33% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Lens 41.46%

Rennes 32.53%

Draw 25.98%

Lens	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.46%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.53%