MX23RW : Monday, May 20 22:17:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lens logo

Brest
3 - 2
Lens

Del Castillo (45+2' pen., 87' pen.), Lala (56')
Lees-Melou (35'), Brassier (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sotoca (10'), Machado (22')
Sotoca (48'), Medina (52'), Samba (85')
Thomasson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 1-2 Rennes
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Lens
Saturday, August 5 at 12.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Brest 0-1 Lens

Given what Lens achieved last term, we expect the Blood and Gold to claim all three points on the opening weekend, although Brest will likely give last season's runners-up a run for their money after finishing the previous campaign on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLens
29.19% (0.963 0.96) 26.06% (0.47 0.47) 44.74% (-1.433 -1.43)
Both teams to score 51.79% (-0.85700000000001 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-1.401 -1.4)52.31% (1.402 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (-1.217 -1.22)74% (1.218 1.22)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.48% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)69% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71% (-1.261 -1.26)23.29% (1.261 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77% (-1.873 -1.87)57.23% (1.873 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Brest 29.19%
    Lens 44.74%
    Draw 26.06%
BrestDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.461 0.46)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.61% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.412 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 11.02% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 8.03% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 44.74%

How you voted: Brest vs Lens

Brest
8.7%
Draw
8.7%
Lens
82.6%
23
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
1-1
Lens
Gradit (83')
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Brest
1-3
Lens
Slimani (19')
Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Lens
3-2
Brest
Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
Mar 5, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 27
Lens
0-1
Brest

Medina (67')
Honorat (59')
Belkebla (54')
Nov 21, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 14
Brest
4-0
Lens
Mounie (3'), Chardonnet (13'), Faivre (33'), Le Douaron (69')
Duverne (58')

Medina (36'), Doucoure (76')
Kalimuendo (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Lorient3478194366-2329
17Metz3485213558-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!