Segunda Division | Gameweek 40

May 20, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
2 - 1
Real Oviedo

Braithwaite (32' pen.), Cabrera (63')
Roca (35'), Olivan (50')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Luengo (23')
Colombatto (31')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Espanyol and Real Oviedo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 0-0 Espanyol
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Oviedo

All competitions

Last Game: Real Oviedo 1-0 Zaragoza
Sunday, May 12 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 46.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Real Oviedo
46.51% ( 0.53)	28.3% ( -0.37)	25.19% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 42.88% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.61% (

1.08)

62.39% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.98% (

0.78)

82.02% (

-0.78)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05% (

0.78)

26.95% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.71% (

1.01)

62.29% (

-1.01)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.7% (

0.48)

41.29% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.18% (

0.42)

77.82% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 46.51%

Real Oviedo 25.19%

Draw 28.28%

Espanyol	Draw	Real Oviedo
1-0 @ 14.59% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.79% Total : 46.51%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.22% Total : 25.19%