Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
1 - 4
PSG

Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Lyon
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Lens
Saturday, August 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lyon 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain

PSG have won six of their last eight Ligue 1 away matches, scoring two or more on each occasion while also drawing the other two, so will come in as big favourites. Blanc will not want to enter the international break with his side still in the relegation zone, but the task may be too much for a side very much out of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.25%) and 0-1 (6.23%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
28.22% ( 1.77)	21.61% ( -0.08)	50.17% ( -1.69)

Both teams to score 66.56% (

1.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.38% (

1.87)

32.61% (

-1.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.72% (

2.14)

54.28% (

-2.14)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92% (

2.14)

23.08% (

-2.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08% (

3.04)

56.91% (

-3.04)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53% (

0.13)

13.47% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.53% (

0.26)

40.46% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Lyon 28.22%

Paris Saint-Germain 50.17%

Draw 21.61%

Lyon	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.22%	1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.58) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.61) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.17) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.11) 2-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.17%