Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
33.19% ( 0.93) | 26.73% ( 0.15) | 40.08% ( -1.08) |
Both teams to score 51.37% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% ( -0.37) | 53.61% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( -0.32) | 75.11% ( 0.31) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.64% ( 0.43) | 30.35% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.46% ( 0.51) | 66.54% ( -0.52) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.75% ( -0.75) | 26.24% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.65% ( -1.01) | 61.35% ( 1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.19% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |