Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
1 - 2
Strasbourg

Lacazette (45+2' pen.)
Lovren (56')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Aholou (29'), Diallo (32')
Aholou (59'), Diallo (60'), Diarra (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lyon
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Lens
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

On paper, Lyon should not have any trouble defeating Strasbourg, but outside of Lacazette, no one on their team has been consistent from one match to the next. Racing looked more motivated versus Lens but overall have not shown that they can sustain early momentum throughout 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Strasbourg
63.95% ( 0.24)	19.74% ( -0.07)	16.31% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 55.55% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.82% (

-0.01)

39.18% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.49% (

-0.01)

61.51% (

0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.39% (

0.06)

11.61% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.4% (

0.13)

36.6% (

-0.13)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.84% (

-0.21)

37.16% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.05% (

-0.21)

73.94% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Lyon 63.95%

Strasbourg 16.31%

Draw 19.74%

Lyon	Draw	Strasbourg
2-0 @ 10% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.05% Total : 63.95%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.74%	1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.31%