Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

Apr 28, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
1 - 2
Lyon

Sanson (15')
Aholou (39'), Djiku (46')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lukeba (32'), Caqueret (36')
Diomande (35'), Lukeba (68'), Kumbedi (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 0-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 23 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Any result for Strasbourg here will feel important with the two sides below them not playing this weekend, and Auxerre facing Marseille away. Lyon have only lost one of their last nine away games, and despite last week's disappointment, they should be able to extend that run here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Lyon
33.86% ( 0.05)	25.68% ( -0.01)	40.45% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.95% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.9% (

0.04)

49.1% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.83% (

0.03)

71.17% (

-0.03)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3% (

0.05)

27.7% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.74% (

0.06)

63.26% (

-0.06)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76% (

-0)

24% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.75% (

-0.01)

58.25% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 33.86%

Lyon 40.45%

Draw 25.67%

Strasbourg	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 8.53% 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.86%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.45%