Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
67.11% ( 0.02) | 18.86% | 14.03% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.14% ( -0.03) | 39.86% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.78% ( -0.03) | 62.22% ( 0.03) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.03% ( -0) | 10.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.79% ( -0.01) | 35.21% ( 0.01) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.41% ( -0.04) | 40.59% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.81% ( -0.03) | 77.19% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 4.17% Total : 67.11% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.86% | 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 14.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |