Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36

May 8, 2022 at 4.05pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
0 - 3
Marseille

Lemoine (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dieng (39'), Guendouzi (48'), Gerson (67')
Saliba (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Troyes	38	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	-28	36
17	Clermont	38	-31	36

Marseille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	38	54	86
2	Marseille	38	25	71
3	Monaco	38	25	69

We said: Lorient 0-1 Marseille

Without the effervescent Payet leading the charge, Marseille's chances of a goal-laden showing have taken a major hit, while the midweek fatigue could certainly work against them as well. However, if Lorient are to sacrifice an attacker for a more defensively-minded setup, breaking down the Olympiens backline will be a tall order for Pelissier's side, who may fall just short in Marseille's most winnable game left. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Marseille
27.36% ( -0.01)	24.12% ( 0.02)	48.53% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.8% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.85% (

-0.08)

45.16% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.5% (

-0.08)

67.5% (

0.08)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.87% (

-0.05)

30.13% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.73% (

-0.06)

66.28% (

0.06)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.3% (

-0.03)

18.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.94% (

-0.06)

50.07% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Lorient 27.36%

Marseille 48.53%

Draw 24.11%

Lorient	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 27.36%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.11%	1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 48.53%