Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 1
Reims

Ounahi (23'), Oliveira (73')
Lodi (59')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ito (10')
Munetsi (36'), Wilson-Esbrand (45+3'), Richardson (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-0 Marseille
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 1-3 Montpellier
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Despite Wednesday's defeat in Greece, we expect Marseille to kick-start their Ligue 1 campaign with a narrow victory over Reims, who registered one of the worst away records in the French top flight last season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Reims had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Reims
51.76% ( -0.01)	23.87% ( 0)	24.37% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.75% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.46% (

-0)

46.53% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.19% (

-0)

68.81% (

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02% (

-0.01)

17.98% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.17% (

-0.01)

48.82% (

0.01)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.75% (

0.01)

33.25% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.14% (

0.01)

69.86% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Marseille 51.75%

Reims 24.37%

Draw 23.87%

Marseille	Draw	Reims
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.53% Total : 51.75%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 24.37%