Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 28, 2023 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 1
Lecce

Sensi (54'), Birindelli (65')
Donati (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Colombo (90+11' pen.)
Banda (56'), Baschirotto (82'), Hjulmand (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Monza
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Spezia
Sunday, May 21 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza are enjoying their best period in the club's history and will be confident of ending their home campaign with a victory over struggling Lecce on Sunday. Lecce probably require a win from their final two games to ensure they join Monza in Serie A next season, but we do not imagine that maximum coming at U-Power Stadium in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Lecce
50.13% ( 0.34)	26.36% ( 0.05)	23.51% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 46.42% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.95% (

-0.46)

57.05% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.06% (

-0.37)

77.94% (

0.37)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

-0.04)

22.85% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.43% (

-0.07)

56.57% (

0.07)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.16% (

-0.62)

39.84% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.5% (

-0.58)

76.5% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Monza 50.13%

Lecce 23.51%

Draw 26.35%

Monza	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 50.13%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.51%