Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 2, 2024 at 5pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 4
Roma

Carboni (87')
Bondo (62')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pellegrini (38'), Lukaku (42'), Dybala (63'), Paredes (82' pen.)
Kristensen (25'), Angelino (48'), Svilar (58'), Cristante (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Monza
Saturday, February 24 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 3-2 Torino
Monday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both teams are now scoring regularly and will expect to take points off the other, with Monza far from pushovers on home soil. Roma's winning run may therefore be curtailed, as they settle for just one point from an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Roma
29.86% ( -0.16)	26.91% ( -0.1)	43.23% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 49.6% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69% (

0.3)

55.31% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47% (

0.24)

76.53% (

-0.24)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.45% (

0.04)

33.55% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.81% (

0.04)

70.19% (

-0.04)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

0.27)

25.37% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84% (

0.36)

60.16% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Monza 29.86%

Roma 43.22%

Draw 26.91%

Monza	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.86%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.22%