Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Nov 26, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
0 - 0
Le Havre

Pierre-Gabriel (45')

N'Diaye (85'), Sangante (90+6')
Ayew (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Le Havre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Le Havre 0-0 Monaco
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

These two sides look like a good matchup for each other in a number of ways. Only three teams have scored more than Nantes in Ligue 1 this season, while only three teams have conceded fewer than Le Havre, so the result will likely come down to which of those units wins that battle. Both teams have struggled for wins in recent times, and as a result both would probably be fairly content with a draw from this match. We are going for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Le Havre
38.94% ( 0.08)	25.8% ( 0.05)	35.25% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 54.81% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.61% (

-0.24)

49.38% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.57% (

-0.22)

71.43% (

0.21)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08% (

-0.07)

24.92% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45% (

-0.09)

59.54% (

0.09)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

-0.19)

26.99% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

-0.25)

62.34% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Nantes 38.94%

Le Havre 35.26%

Draw 25.8%

Nantes	Draw	Le Havre
1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.94%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.26%