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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Nantes

Lens
4 - 0
Nantes

Sotoca (27' pen., 72' pen.), Medina (58'), El Aynaoui (89')
Wahi (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Comert (68'), Duverne (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-1 Nantes

 Saturday night's Ligue 1 affair is a particularly difficult one to call, as Lens have shut up shop at the back admirably in recent weeks, albeit not always with the attacking proficiency to go with it. With jellied legs from the Champions League also setting in, Haise's backline may still struggle to contain a prolific Nantes side, who can feel confident of holding out for a slice of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawNantes
56.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 23.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 19.53% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.76% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (0.058 0.06)51.29% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88% (0.052 0.05)73.12% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02)17.89% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32% (0.034999999999997 0.03)48.67% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39% (0.047999999999995 0.05)40.61% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (0.042999999999999 0.04)77.21% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lens 56.72%
    Nantes 19.53%
    Draw 23.72%
LensDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 56.72%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.53%

How you voted: Lens vs Nantes

Lens
43.8%
Draw
31.3%
Nantes
25.0%
32
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2023 5.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nantes
2-1
Lens
Delort (31' pen., 59' pen.)
Fofana (28')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 24
Lens
3-1
Nantes
Machado (34'), Thomasson (36'), Traore (74' og.)
Mollet (40')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 8
Nantes
0-0
Lens
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 35
Lens
2-2
Nantes
Costa (67'), Kalimuendo (81' pen.)
Leca (19')
Simon (8', 32')
Pereira de Sa (53'), Cyprien (62'), Moutoussamy (74'), Pallois (80'), Lafont (81')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 18
Nantes
3-2
Lens
Kolo (49', 57'), Simon (90')
Girotto (31'), Blas (60'), Chirivella (76')
Costa (7'), Kalimuendo (14')
Haidara (46'), Gradit (60'), Medina (61')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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