Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 8, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
1 - 1
Union Berlin

Politano (39')
Simeone (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Datro Fofana (52')
Bonucci (41'), Jaeckel (66'), Tousart (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 4 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Napoli 2-0 Union Berlin

To say that Union Berlin are totally devoid of attacking inspiration would be unfair, as the Iron Ones troubled the Napoli backline on several occasions two weeks ago, only to be let down by poor finishing. However, Fischer's men ought to see their powers wane even more in Naples, where a 13th defeat of the season will end their top-two chances while taking Napoli ever closer to a place in the last-16 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Union Berlin
59.84% ( 0.04)	20.66% ( -0)	19.5% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 58.77% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.02% (

-0.04)

37.98% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.76% (

-0.04)

60.24% (

0.05)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.62% (

-0)

12.38% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.77% (

-0)

38.23% (

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.07% (

-0.06)

32.92% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.5% (

-0.06)

69.5% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Napoli 59.84%

Union Berlin 19.5%

Draw 20.66%

Napoli	Draw	Union Berlin
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.88% 3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.6% 4-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 59.84%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.66%	1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.5%