Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
2 - 3
Monaco

Laborde (37' pen.), Guessand (74')
Lotomba (33'), Louchet (60'), Boudaoui (67'), Guessand (83'), Ndayishimiye (90+3')
Dante (54')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zakaria (16', 50'), Golovin (77')
Kehrer (35'), Golovin (44'), Zakaria (83'), Akliouche (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 1-4 Nice
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rouen 1-1 Monaco (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Losing to a third-tier side at the Coupe de France cannot be good for the confidence of the Principality club, who are in a slump domestically and, outside of Ben Yedder, are struggling to score consistently. Nice are an intimidating defensive force to deal with at home, with a keeper who may have a psychological edge on the Monegasque attackers given what transpired the last time these teams met when he saved two penalties. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Nice	Draw	Monaco
45.49% ( -0.26)	25.12% ( -0.12)	29.39% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 54.92% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.71% (

0.68)

48.28% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.56% (

0.62)

70.43% (

-0.63)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.75% (

0.17)

21.25% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.84% (

0.26)

54.16% (

-0.26)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73% (

0.62)

30.26% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.56% (

0.73)

66.43% (

-0.74)

Score Analysis

Nice 45.49%

Monaco 29.39%

Draw 25.11%

Nice	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.49%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.39%