MX23RW : Saturday, June 1 03:23:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Lyon

Nice
3 - 1
Lyon

Boateng (5' og.), Laborde (28'), Moffi (33')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Jeffinho (41')
Lukeba (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-0 Reims
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-2 Lyon

Lyon have been one of the best sides in France during 2023, and even though they will fancy their chances to win here, it will surely not be enough to claim a spot in Europe. Despite a run of five wins in their last seven home league games against Lyon, Nice face a very in-form outfit, determined to finish the season strongly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawLyon
37.81% (0.367 0.37) 26.05% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05) 36.14% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.147 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.6% (0.19 0.19)50.39% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (0.169 0.17)72.33% (-0.175 -0.17)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (0.294 0.29)26% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.397 0.4)61.02% (-0.403 -0.4)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)26.95% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (-0.127 -0.13)62.29% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Nice 37.81%
    Lyon 36.14%
    Draw 26.04%
NiceDrawLyon
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.81%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Nice vs Lyon

Nice
20.0%
Draw
22.9%
Lyon
57.1%
35
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
gameweek 15
Lyon
1-1
Nice
Lacazette (89' pen.)
Pepe (38' pen.)
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 24
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Dembele (8' pen.), Toko Ekambi (52')

Todibo (50')
Oct 24, 2021 12pm
gameweek 11
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Atal (81'), Delort (89' pen.), Guessand (90+1')
Guessand (90+2')
Toko Ekambi (35'), Aouar (68')
Kadewere (85')
May 23, 2021 8pm
gameweek 38
Lyon
2-3
Nice
Toko Ekambi (14', 40')
Marcelo (56')
Dolberg (27'), Kamara (50'), Saliba (57')
Thuram (45+1'), Todibo (65')
Dec 19, 2020 8pm
gameweek 16
Nice
1-4
Lyon
Gouiri (44')
Thuram (57')
Depay (32' pen.), Kadewere (39'), Toko Ekambi (63'), Aouar (73')
Cornet (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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