FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

McGuane (11'), Bodin (75')
Rodrigues (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hunt (62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Oxford United and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Bolton
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Grimsby Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Oxford United 3-1 Grimsby Town

Oxford are overwhelming favourites to advance from Saturday's encounter, and we expect the U's to live up to that tag by claiming a relatively comfortable victory over a Grimsby side that has failed to win a single away game this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Grimsby Town
54.55% ( -0.08)	22.88% ( 0.02)	22.57% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 55.86% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96% (

0.01)

44.04% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.58% (

0.01)

66.42% (

-0)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.95% (

-0.03)

16.05% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.58% (

-0.05)

45.42% (

0.05)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.54% (

0.06)

33.46% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.91% (

0.07)

70.09% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 54.55%

Grimsby Town 22.57%

Draw 22.87%

Oxford United	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.55%	1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 22.57%