League One

League One | Gameweek 20

Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
0 - 0
Bolton

Mills (37'), Bodin (45+3')

Thomason (25'), Baxter (45+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Bolton Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 7-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
41.05% ( -0.22)	26.21% ( 0.03)	32.74% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 52.9% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4% (

-0.07)

51.6% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61% (

-0.06)

73.39% (

0.06)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.19% (

-0.14)

24.81% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.61% (

-0.2)

59.39% (

0.2)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

0.09)

29.65% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31% (

0.11)

65.69% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 41.05%

Bolton Wanderers 32.74%

Draw 26.2%

Oxford United	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.05%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.74%