Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 20, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
5 - 0
Moreirense

Wendell (8', 72'), Evanilson (60'), Galeno (69'), Varela (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ramos (34'), Pinto (45'), Aparicio (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Braga
Sunday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Moreirense
Saturday, January 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Despite their impressive display against Estoril, Moreirense will need to be at their best as they face a sterner challenge in Porto. Conceicao's men have been near impenetrable at home all season and we are backing them to pick up a seventh consecutive victory at the Estadio do Dragao. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 13.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Moreirense
66.63% ( 0.31)	20.1% ( -0.21)	13.26% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 46.56% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.83% (

0.61)

47.16% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.6% (

0.57)

69.4% (

-0.58)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.74% (

0.28)

13.25% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.97% (

0.57)

40.03% (

-0.58)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.67% (

0.2)

46.32% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.03% (

0.16)

81.97% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Porto 66.62%

Moreirense 13.26%

Draw 20.1%

Porto	Draw	Moreirense
2-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.72% Total : 66.62%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.1%	0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.26%