Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
2 - 0
Braga

Cardoso (12'), Evanilson (49' pen.)
Pepe (25'), Gonzalez (62'), Conceicao (66'), Conceicao (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Horta (26'), Carvalho (45+2'), Oliveira (79'), Djalo (82'), Fonte (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 0-4 Porto
Tuesday, January 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Braga
Wednesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Still licking their wounds from the cup exit, Braga will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result. However, Porto have been near impenetrable at home in recent weeks and we fancy them to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 20.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Braga
58.52% ( -0.02)	20.61% ( 0.01)	20.86% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.32% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.3% (

-0.02)

35.7% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.23% (

-0.02)

57.77% (

0.02)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.97% (

-0.01)

12.03% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.49% (

-0.02)

37.51% (

0.02)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.71% (

-0)

30.29% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.53% (

-0)

66.47% (

Score Analysis

Porto 58.52%

Braga 20.86%

Draw 20.61%

Porto	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 58.52%	1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.61%	1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 20.86%