If their beatings of Reims and Lorient are anything to go by, a rejuvenated Sochaux are not to be underestimated, and a few alterations on the visitors' end could give rise to an exciting last-16 affair. A rejigged Rouges et Noir backline should not head home with their clean sheet intact, but Rennes' attacking line packs a mean punch, and a place in the quarter-finals is surely the visitors' to lose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 23.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Sochaux win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Sochaux	Draw	Rennes
23.39% ( -0.04)	24.31% ( 0.01)	52.3% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 52.26% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.7% (

-0.09)

49.3% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.64% (

-0.08)

71.35% (

0.08)

Sochaux Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.38% (

-0.09)

35.62% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.6% (

-0.09)

72.39% (

0.09)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18% (

-0.02)

18.82% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.75% (

-0.04)

50.25% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sochaux 23.39%

Rennes 52.29%

Draw 24.3%

Sochaux	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 23.39%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 52.29%