Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
3 - 0
Plymouth

Hoever (43'), Manhoef (45+2'), Burger (90+3')
Wilmot (26'), Cooper (36'), Hoever (36')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Campbell (35'), Mumba (36'), Scarr (62'), Devine (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Leicester
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

This has the potential to be an extremely tense affair, one in which both sides may be focused on avoiding losing. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
44.94% ( -0.02)	25.43% ( -0)	29.63% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.06% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.53% (

0.02)

49.47% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.49% (

0.02)

71.5% (

-0.02)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.01% (

21.99% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.7% (

55.29% (

-0)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

0.02)

30.69% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.05% (

0.03)

66.95% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 44.94%

Plymouth Argyle 29.63%

Draw 25.42%

Stoke City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.94%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.63%