Championship

Championship | Gameweek 19

Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
2 - 1
Stoke

Bundu (43'), Randell (90+7')
Houghton (7'), Schumacher (8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Campbell (23')
Vidigal (57'), Pearson (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 4-2 Stoke
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Stoke City

Plymouth are continuing to lean on their home form significantly to keep them out of trouble in the Championship, and we are expecting another strong performance from the Pilgrims at Home Park this weekend. Stoke were hit with questionable refereeing decisions and a load of suspensions to key players at QPR last time out, meaning we cannot envisage the Potters earning coming out on top in Devon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Stoke City
34.28% ( -0)	23.5%	42.22% ( 0)

Both teams to score 62.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.11%

38.89% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.79%

61.21% (

-0)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.37% (

-0)

22.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.75% (

-0)

56.25%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.19%

18.81% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.77% (

50.23% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 34.28%

Stoke City 42.22%

Draw 23.5%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Stoke City
2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.28%	1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 8.83% 0-1 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.94% 1-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.5% Total : 42.22%