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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
0 - 0
Cardiff


McNally (42')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Stoke
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Cardiff City

When two of the form teams in any division lock horns, you expect a high-quality contest. That is what we are anticipating here with Stoke having our backing to extend their unexpected upturn in fortunes with a fourth victory in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
48.85% (0.073 0.07) 25.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.1% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)50% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.041 -0.04)71.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.010999999999996 0.01)20.49% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.019000000000005 0.02)52.97% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)33.66% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (-0.093 -0.09)70.31% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 48.85%
    Cardiff City 26.1%
    Draw 25.03%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.58% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.85%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.1%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
68.4%
Draw
15.8%
Cardiff City
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke
Kaba (29')
Laurent (16')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Cardiff
0-0
Stoke
Pack (56')
Allen (88')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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