Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
2 - 3
Stoke

Bell (5'), Wells (15')
Weimann (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Leris (20'), Haksabanovic (47'), Lowe (89')
Tchamadeu (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Bristol City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Stoke City

Even in defeat to Leicester, Bristol City gave a positive account of themselves, and that should stand them in good stead this weekend. Stoke look like they are making no progress under Neil, leading us to predict a home win, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Stoke City
37.58% ( -0.01)	25.53% ( -0)	36.88% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.87% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.91% (

48.09% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.75% (

70.25% (

-0.01)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94%

25.06% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.26% (

-0)

59.74%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.55% (

25.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.72% (

0.01)

60.27% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 37.58%

Stoke City 36.88%

Draw 25.52%

Bristol City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 0.98% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.58%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.88%