Championship

Championship | Gameweek 6

Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
1 - 0
Stoke

Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Preston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Norwich City 2-0 Stoke City

Although both teams suffered defeat immediately before the international break, Norwich have look by far the superior side in recent games. With that in mind, we can only predict a home win for the Canaries, heaping the pressure on Neil in the opposite dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Stoke City
41.1% ( 0.17)	26.59% ( -0.04)	32.3% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 51.54% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.72% (

0.13)

53.28% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

0.12)

74.83% (

-0.11)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

0.15)

25.55% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

0.21)

60.41% (

-0.21)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.22% (

-0.02)

30.78% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.95% (

-0.02)

67.05% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 41.1%

Stoke City 32.3%

Draw 26.59%

Norwich City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.1%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.3%