Championship

Championship | Gameweek 17

Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
2 - 0
Sunderland

Whittaker (24'), Azaz (40')
Cundle (26'), Kesler (85'), Randell (90+1'), Mumba (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

O'Nien (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, November 11 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Sunderland

While Sunderland have certainly enjoyed the stronger start to the season and boast the superior quality, they face a tough trip to Home Park to meet a Plymouth Argyle side who are strong on their own patch. Although the hosts may not have what it takes to send the Black Cats home empty-handed, we do fancy them to take a share of the spoils on the south coast. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.72%) and 1-3 (5.52%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Sunderland
32.88% ( -0.03)	22.03% ( 0)	45.09% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 67.93% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.99% (

-0.04)

32.01% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.42% (

-0.04)

53.57% (

0.04)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86% (

-0.03)

20.14% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.59% (

-0.05)

52.41% (

0.05)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.06% (

-0.01)

14.94% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.66% (

-0.01)

43.33% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 32.88%

Sunderland 45.09%

Draw 22.03%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Sunderland
2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.88%	1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.03%	1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.63% 2-4 @ 2.1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.09%