Championship

Championship | Gameweek 13

Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
1 - 0
Sunderland

Justin (12')
Iheanacho (40'), Vestergaard (50'), Justin (67'), Pereira (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Nien (50'), Hume (54'), Cirkin (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Leicester
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leicester City 2-0 Sunderland

Sunderland are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Leicester, but we are finding it very difficult to back anything other than a home win here. The Foxes have so much quality all over the pitch and should have too much for their opponents on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Sunderland
46.69% ( 0.57)	23.56% ( -0.02)	29.74% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 60.48% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.93% (

-0.2)

41.07% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.53% (

-0.2)

63.46% (

0.2)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.15% (

0.14)

17.84% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.4% (

0.25)

48.6% (

-0.25)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

-0.45)

26.38% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.47% (

-0.6)

61.53% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 46.69%

Sunderland 29.75%

Draw 23.56%

Leicester City	Draw	Sunderland
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 3.77% Total : 46.69%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.75%