Championship

Championship | Gameweek 10

Oct 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 0
Watford

Huggins (43'), Ba (62')
Burstow (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ngakia (27'), Dele-Bashiru (58'), Bachmann (74'), Louza (74'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-3 Sunderland
Friday, September 29 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 2-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Watford

A closely-fought contest could be on the cards this weekend considering Watford's woeful away form and Sunderland's poor form on home soil, but the Black Cats will be regarded as favourites on Wednesday and they should have enough quality in the final third to outscore the Hornets. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Watford
51.02% ( -0.81)	24.58% ( 0.24)	24.39% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 52.53% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.51% (

-0.47)

49.48% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.48% (

-0.43)

71.52% (

0.43)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

-0.5)

19.39% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.8% (

-0.83)

51.2% (

0.83)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17% (

0.24)

34.83% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.43% (

0.25)

71.56% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 51.02%

Watford 24.39%

Draw 24.57%

Sunderland	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.99% Total : 51.02%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.39%