Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
We said: Watford 2-1 West Bromwich Albion
Watford were good value for their victory over Birmingham on the weekend, and the Vicarage Road faithful will be expecting a similar result against a West Brom side who struggle away from home.
You feel that the Baggies have an extra gear to go up to when the likes of Maja and Sarmiento are eventually integrated into the XI, but we do not envisage Corberan's men earning anything from their trip to Hertfordshire on Wednesday night.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.16% . A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 26% .
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.11%) . The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood .
Result Watford Draw West Bromwich Albion 45.16% ( -0.2) 25.98% ( 0.05) 28.86% ( 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.84% ( -0.06)
47.85% ( -0.13) 52.15% ( 0.13)
26.13% ( -0.11) 73.87% ( 0.11)
76.97% ( -0.15) 23.03% ( 0.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.15% ( -0.22) 56.85% ( 0.22)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
67.35% ( 0.05) 32.65% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.8% ( 0.05) 69.2% ( -0.05)
Watford 45.16%
West Bromwich Albion 28.86%
Draw 25.98%
Watford Draw West Bromwich Albion 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.16% 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.98% 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.86%
How you voted: Watford vs West Brom
Watford
Draw
West Bromwich Albion
34
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 12:14:09
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