Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
5 - 0
VfL Bochum

Guirassy (18', 77'), Zagadou (38'), Wamangituka (59', 67')
Zagadou (45+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Antwi-Adjej (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Balingen 0-4 Stuttgart
Saturday, August 12 at 12pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 VfL Bochum (4-1 pen.)
Saturday, August 12 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

We said: Stuttgart 2-0 VfL Bochum

Stuttgart have a very impressive home record against VfL Bochum, and they have won the last two matches between the two sides, so we expect them to kick off their campaign with a win this weekend. Bochum have already been knocked out of the DFB Pokal against a side playing two divisions below them, so we do not think they stand much chance of getting a positive result this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	VfL Bochum
51.58% ( -0.01)	23.59% ( 0.05)	24.83% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.13% (

-0.24)

44.87% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.78% (

-0.23)

67.22% (

0.23)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.58% (

-0.09)

17.42% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.14% (

-0.17)

47.86% (

0.16)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

-0.16)

31.96% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

-0.19)

68.41% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 51.58%

VfL Bochum 24.83%

Draw 23.58%

Stuttgart	Draw	VfL Bochum
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 51.58%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.58%	0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 24.83%