Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 21, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 1
Stuttgart

Beljo (8')
Bauer (62'), Rexhbecaj (78'), Uduokhai (85'), Baumgartlinger (89'), Maier (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Endo (78')
Ito (20'), Coulibaly (52'), Vagnomann (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Augsburg
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Dortmund
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Stuttgart

Given Augsburg's growing injury crisis and poor form of late, Stuttgart may smell blood at the WWK Arena this weekend, especially as securing a victory would bring another relegation rival into the mix. Die Schwaben have hugely improved since replacing Bruno Labbadia with Hoeness a few weeks ago, and their confidence should be sky-high after their dramatic draw against title candidates Dortmund last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Stuttgart
29.29% ( 0.13)	24.79% ( -0.02)	45.91% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 55.92% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.06% (

0.16)

46.94% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.81% (

0.15)

69.19% (

-0.15)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

0.17)

29.64% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31% (

0.21)

65.69% (

-0.21)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.49% (

0.02)

20.51% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47% (

0.03)

53% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 29.29%

Stuttgart 45.91%

Draw 24.79%

Augsburg	Draw	Stuttgart
1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.29%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.91%