Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor

Darmstadt
0 - 1
Freiburg

FT(HT: 0-1)

Doan (36')
Sallai (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 4-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 Freiburg

While Freiburg have been inconsistent this season, they have done well against sides in the bottom half of the table and will feel that this is a match from which they should take all three points. With just two wins all season, it is difficult to make much of a case for Darmstadt here, and we feel that they will suffer their 19th loss of the campaign in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	Freiburg
22.28% ( 3.02)	21.7% ( 1.61)	56.02% ( -4.64)

Both teams to score 59.51% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.97% (

-3.39)

39.02% (

3.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.65% (

-3.65)

61.34% (

3.64)

SV Darmstadt 98 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08% (

0.86)

30.92% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.79% (

67.21% (

-1)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.15% (

-2.42)

13.84% (

2.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.78% (

-5)

41.22% (

Score Analysis

SV Darmstadt 98 22.28%

Freiburg 56.02%

Draw 21.7%

SV Darmstadt 98	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.66) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.86) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.78% Total : 22.28%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.9) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.65) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.7%	1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.58) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.61) 0-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.66) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.64) 0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.62) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.32) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.4) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.38) Other @ 3.43% Total : 56.02%