Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 36.14%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Empoli |
35.61% ( 0.62) | 28.25% ( -0.08) | 36.14% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 47.06% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.84% ( 0.3) | 59.16% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.41% ( 0.23) | 79.59% ( -0.22) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% ( 0.56) | 31.57% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% ( 0.63) | 67.96% ( -0.63) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.77% ( -0.19) | 31.23% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.43% ( -0.22) | 67.57% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.61% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 36.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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