Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 1
Hellas Verona

Baldanzi (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kallon (69')
Faraoni (9'), Ceccherini (34'), Dawidowicz (66'), Veloso (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Spezia	3	-2	4
14	Empoli	3	-1	2
15	Lecce	3	-2	1

Hellas Verona

Last Six:

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Atalanta
Sunday, August 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Bologna	3	-3	1
17	Hellas Verona	3	-4	1
18	Sampdoria	3	-6	1

We said: Empoli 1-1 Hellas Verona

With both sides low on confidence following a difficult start to the season, we think a cagey contest could result in the spoils being shared on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Hellas Verona
41.69% ( 0.09)	25.58% ( 0.05)	32.72% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 54.94% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.04% (

-0.27)

48.96% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.95% (

-0.25)

71.04% (

0.24)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.68% (

-0.08)

23.32% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.73% (

-0.11)

57.27% (

0.11)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.65% (

-0.22)

28.35% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.91% (

-0.28)

64.08% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Empoli 41.69%

Hellas Verona 32.72%

Draw 25.58%

Empoli	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.69%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.72%