Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 21, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
Napoli

Lazovic (60')
Magnani (37'), Faraoni (44'), Bonazzoli (65')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Politano (27'), Kvaratskhelia (43', 55')
Rui (45'), Lindstrom (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 1-3 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 Napoli

The last league draw between Verona and Napoli at the Bentegodi came back in April 1988, when none other than Diego Maradona got his name on the scoresheet. While Hellas have not conceded too many goals this term, hopes of holding out for a point on Saturday are likely to be futile, as the champions should be fired up and have plenty to prove - while Simeone may enjoy returning to the site of his former successes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.67%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Napoli
14.04% ( -0.1)	21.21% ( 0.28)	64.74% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 45.24% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9% (

-1.33)

50.09% (

1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93% (

-1.19)

72.06% (

1.18)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.06% (

-0.96)

46.93% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.56% (

-0.74)

82.44% (

0.73)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.24% (

-0.49)

14.75% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.01% (

-0.93)

42.98% (

0.93)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 14.04%

Napoli 64.73%

Draw 21.21%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.98% 3-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.16% Total : 14.04%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.21%	0-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 12.67% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 3.87% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.19% Total : 64.73%