Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
1 - 2
Bayern

Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, December 17 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wolfsburg 0-2 Bayern Munich

With just two goals from four December fixtures so far - and a terrible record versus Bayern in the Bundesliga - Wolfsburg are set to end 2023 on a down note. The German champions may be short of their brilliant best right now, but they clearly possess sufficient firepower to take care of business at the Volkswagen Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-3 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
15.27% ( -0.34)	17.88% ( -0.03)	66.84% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 60.01% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.71% (

-0.63)

32.28% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.1% (

-0.74)

53.9% (

0.74)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.92% (

-0.83)

34.07% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.23% (

-0.9)

70.76% (

0.91)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.03% (

-0.09)

8.96% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.42% (

-0.21)

30.57% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 15.27%

Bayern Munich 66.84%

Draw 17.88%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.57% Total : 15.27%	1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.88%	1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 7.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 7.15% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 4.31% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 2.08% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 5.08% Total : 66.84%