Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Jan 22, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
2 - 0
Lille

Djalo (3' og.), Mounie (90+5' pen.)
Mounie (11'), Agoume (27')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yilmaz (54'), Mandava (57'), Sanches (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Whilst Brest will be desperate to return to winning ways - and will have home advantage - Lille have rediscovered some of the form that took them to a shock title last year, and we think they will have too much for Les Pirates on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lille
32.91%	25.83%	41.26%

Both teams to score 54.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.05%

49.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.06%

71.93%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.28%

28.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.45%

64.55%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.03%

23.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.79%

58.21%

Score Analysis

Brest 32.91%

Lille 41.26%

Draw 25.82%

Brest	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 8.59% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.91%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.26%