Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 2, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
3 - 1
Toulouse

Mounie (33'), Le Douaron (63'), Camara (84')
Lala (4'), Lees-Melou (30')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dallinga (10')
Desler (25'), Spierings (30'), Aboukhlal (60'), Rouault (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Brest
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Lille
Saturday, March 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse have been stronger on the road than at home recently, but the upcoming cup semi could prove to be a distraction. Brest are scrapping for points, and they have been hard to come by against Toulouse, but after two very challenging home games, they may fare better here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Toulouse
33.91% ( -0)	24.3% ( 0.04)	41.79% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 59.77% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.16% (

-0.17)

42.84% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.76% (

-0.17)

65.24% (

0.18)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32% (

-0.08)

24.68% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.79% (

-0.12)

59.21% (

0.13)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.36% (

-0.08)

20.65% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.79% (

-0.14)

53.22% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Brest 33.91%

Toulouse 41.79%

Draw 24.3%

Brest	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 7.87% 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.91%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 41.79%