Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
2 - 0
Montpellier

Costa (37'), Ganago (75')
Costa (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

Last Six:

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Strasbourg	38	17	63
7	Lens	38	14	62
8	Lyon	38	15	61

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Reims	38	-1	46
13	Montpellier HSC	38	-12	43
14	Angers	38	-11	41

We said: Lens 2-1 Montpellier HSC

Buoyed by a derby victory, Lens will carry momentum into Wednesday's contest, and we think the motivation of a top-five finish will inspire them to victory over a Montpellier side who are experiencing a poor run of form after losing two of their last three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Lens	Draw	Montpellier HSC
64.97%	19.83%	15.2%

Both teams to score 52.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.18%

41.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.77%

64.23%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.89%

12.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.32%

37.68%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.79%

40.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.16%

76.84%

Score Analysis

Lens 64.97%

Montpellier HSC 15.2%

Draw 19.83%

Lens	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 10.85% 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.17% 5-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.56% Total : 64.97%	1-1 @ 9.37% 0-0 @ 4.87% 2-2 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.83%	0-1 @ 4.44% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.81% Total : 15.2%