Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.72%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 28.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Metz |
41.72% | 29.4% | 28.89% |
Both teams to score 42.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.81% | 64.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.68% | 83.32% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.59% | 30.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.39% | 66.61% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.87% | 39.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.16% | 75.84% |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 14.16% 2-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 7.91% 3-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.32% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 11.89% 2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.39% | 0-1 @ 11.16% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.5% Total : 28.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |