Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Lens |
28.34% ( -0.02) | 25.69% ( 0) | 45.97% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.42% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.76% ( -0.01) | 51.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% ( -0.01) | 73.07% ( 0.01) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% ( -0.02) | 32.56% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( -0.03) | 69.1% ( 0.02) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% ( 0) | 22.27% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% ( 0.01) | 55.71% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 6.86% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.34% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |