Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadium Municipal

Toulouse
0 - 3
PSG

Ratao (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Neymar (37'), Mbappe (50'), Bernat (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

Last Six:

Last Game: Nantes 3-1 Toulouse
Sunday, August 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Clermont	4	-3	6
10	Toulouse	4	1	5
11	Nantes	4	1	5

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 1-1 Monaco
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	4	14	10
2	Marseille	4	7	10
3	Lens	4	5	10

We said: Toulouse 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain

We are only four matches into the new campaign, and already it looks as though les Parisiens will run away with the Ligue 1 title, so we do not expect the newly promoted Toulouse to give them any difficulties on Wednesday. Les Pitchouns have lost five straight top-flight fixtures versus PSG, scoring only once in their last six games against them, while they have conceded four goals or more in two of the previous five encounters versus Les Rouge et Bleu. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
24.55% ( 0.23)	22.73% ( 0.2)	52.72% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 58.8% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

-0.68)

41.26% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.34% (

-0.7)

63.65% (

0.69)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75% (

-0.18)

30.24% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59% (

-0.22)

66.41% (

0.21)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.3% (

-0.39)

15.7% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.23% (

-0.73)

44.76% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 24.55%

Paris Saint-Germain 52.72%

Draw 22.73%

Toulouse	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.55%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.72%