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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
St Louis City

Cincinnati
3 - 1
St Louis City

Acosta (26' pen.), Kubo (49'), Santos (80')
Murphy (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Miazga (54' og.)
Kijima (35'), Adeniran (44'), Ostrak (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Last Game: St Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 St Louis City

 While St Louis City do have the tools to make things tough for their hosts, FC Cincinnati find themselves in a fine run of form and will head into the weekend with plenty of confidence and momentum on their side. With home advantage and plenty of quality at both ends of the pitch, we back Pat Noonan's men to make it six wins on the bounce on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawSt Louis City
66.89% (1.879 1.88) 19.07% (-0.212 -0.21) 14.04% (-1.667 -1.67)
Both teams to score 52.15% (-3.607 -3.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.15% (-2.621 -2.62)40.85% (2.621 2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.77% (-2.732 -2.73)63.23% (2.732 2.73)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (-0.259 -0.26)11.31% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.05% (-0.568 -0.57)35.95% (0.569 0.57)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.8% (-3.884 -3.88)41.2% (3.884 3.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.27% (-3.634 -3.63)77.73% (3.634 3.63)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 66.88%
    St Louis City 14.04%
    Draw 19.07%
FC CincinnatiDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 11.06% (1.06 1.06)
1-0 @ 10.15% (1.069 1.07)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.04% (0.695 0.69)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.38% (0.336 0.34)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.407 -0.41)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.243 -0.24)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 66.88%
1-1 @ 9% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.536 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.51 -0.51)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.07%
0-1 @ 4.13% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.99% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.311 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.27 -0.27)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.04%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs St Louis City

FC Cincinnati
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
St Louis City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 3.49am
St Louis City
5-1
Cincinnati
Stroud (3'), Lowen (39'), Hiebert (45+2'), Gioacchini (53'), Celentano (57' og.)
Santos (62')
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511
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